Dollars and Diagrams

Short-Term Prediction Business


As I write this note, the S&P 500 index is down more than 23% year-to-date.  In addition, the bond market is down around 14% year-to-date.

There has been no place to hide.

Diversification in 2022 has meant very little.

Nobody enjoys the pains that come with entering a recession:

-potential job losses

-plummeting net worths

-higher mortgage rates

We certainly are not in the short-term prediction business.

Check out the chart above as it describes what has happened in the S&P 500 during the previous twelve recessions.

We have no idea how long this recession will last or how deep the ultimate drop of the stock market.

However, I feel confident that five to ten years after this recession is all over that we will be glad that we maintained our core belief in the benefits of being long-term goal-driven equity investors.

[I implore you to take a moment and look at the Ten Years return column.]

You shouldn’t have to worry about how your portfolio is positioned versus the current economic backdrop.  That is our job.

We remain patient and disciplined in our long-term investment approach.

If anything in your situation has changed, please reach out to us so we can plan accordingly.

We are here, and we love hearing from you.

Invest and plan confidently,

Nic & Jeff

Note:  past performance is not indicative of future results.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is a capitalization weighted index of 500 stocks designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks representing all major industries. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Ben Carlson is not affiliated with LPL Financial Know My Plan. There is no guarantee that a diversified portfolio will enhance overall returns or outperform a non-diversified portfolio. Diversification does not protect against market risk.


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